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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Milwaukee Bucks — Los Angeles Lakers

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Model prediction for 12 November

Milwaukee Bucks23%
Los Angeles Lakers77%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Los Angeles Lakers are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 112:122 — 234 points in total.

Over 233.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Milwaukee Bucks play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Los Angeles Lakers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • League table: Milwaukee Bucks — No. 29, 1–6; Los Angeles Lakers — No. 6, 6–2.
  • Milwaukee Bucks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Milwaukee Bucks 3 wins, Los Angeles Lakers 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Milwaukee Bucks — Los Angeles Lakers111.8–122.1
Total over 233.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 233.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Milwaukee Bucks points
  • Los Angeles Lakers points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 03.11away · Minnesota Timberwolves100:112
  • 01.11Cleveland Cavaliers111:136
  • 29.10Houston Rockets100:132
  • 27.10Indiana Pacers110:102
  • 25.10away · Philadelphia 76ers116:127

Los Angeles Lakers

  • 03.11Miami Heat138:117
  • 02.11Toronto Raptors131:125
  • 31.10away · Golden State Warriors95:112
  • 29.10away · Los Angeles Clippers103:87
  • 28.10Portland Trail Blazers129:136

Head to head

  • 10.01.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Milwaukee Bucks101:105
  • 16.11.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Los Angeles Lakers95:119
  • 21.03.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Milwaukee Bucks89:118
  • 14.03.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Los Angeles Lakers126:106
  • 27.03.2024Milwaukee Bucks — Los Angeles Lakers124:128 OT

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
14Brooklyn Nets716.1435.5
15Milwaukee Bucks716.1435.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePortland Trail Blazers651.8331
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceLos Angeles Lakers862.7501
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →