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EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Olimpia Milano — Fenerbahce

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Model prediction for 19 November

Olimpia Milano36%
Fenerbahce64%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fenerbahce are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 79:84 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −5.7, Fenerbahce +2.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Olimpia Milano — No. 20, 1–8; Fenerbahce — No. 9, 6–3.
  • Olimpia Milano: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olimpia Milano 2 wins, Fenerbahce 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Fenerbahce79.5–83.8
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Olimpia Milano points
  • Fenerbahce points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Olimpia Milano

  • 30.10away · Olympiacos78:84
  • 27.10away · Panathinaikos75:80
  • 22.10Barcelona81:89
  • 15.10Dubai97:101
  • 13.10Real Madrid89:98

Fenerbahce

  • 31.10away · Istanbul BB3:1
  • 29.10away · Real Madrid76:95
  • 27.10away · Valencia78:86
  • 27.10Alanya Bld3:0
  • 24.10away · Gaziantep Genclik3:2

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Fenerbahce — Olimpia Milano79:75
  • 18.12.2025Olimpia Milano — Fenerbahce72:87
  • 06.03.2025Olimpia Milano — Fenerbahce76:100
  • 29.11.2024Fenerbahce — Olimpia Milano85:91
  • 22.03.2024Olimpia Milano — Fenerbahce77:76

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZalgiris Kaunas954.5562
19Baskonia918.1116
20Olimpia Milano918.1116

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →