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EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Paris — Hapoel Tel Aviv

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Model prediction for 19 November

Paris41%
Hapoel Tel Aviv59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Tel Aviv are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 93:95 — 188 points in total.

Over 186.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Paris −4.0, Hapoel Tel Aviv +2.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Paris — No. 16, 3–6; Hapoel Tel Aviv — No. 5, 6–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Paris 2 wins, Hapoel Tel Aviv 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Paris — Hapoel Tel Aviv92.5–95.3
Total over 186.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 186.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Paris points
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Paris

  • 29.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv99:94
  • 27.10away · Dubai99:93
  • 23.10Valencia93:104
  • 16.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:90
  • 14.10Virtus Bologna94:96

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 30.10away · Dubai83:97
  • 28.10Anadolu Efes118:88
  • 21.10Virtus Bologna90:81
  • 16.10away · Panathinaikos91:81
  • 14.10Besiktas100:82

Head to head

  • 17.03.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv — Paris93:82
  • 17.10.2025Paris — Hapoel Tel Aviv88:89
  • 17.01.2024Hapoel Tel Aviv — Paris86:104
  • 08.11.2023Paris — Hapoel Tel Aviv114:87
  • 18.01.2023Hapoel Tel Aviv — Paris95:79

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsDubai963.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsHapoel Tel Aviv963.6671
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
15Virtus Bologna945.4443
16Paris936.3334
17Maccabi Tel Aviv927.2225

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →