EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Zalgiris Kaunas — Panathinaikos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zalgiris Kaunas are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 84:82 — 167 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Zalgiris Kaunas +1.3, Panathinaikos +2.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Zalgiris Kaunas — No. 10, 5–4; Panathinaikos — No. 1, 7–2.
- Zalgiris Kaunas: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins, Panathinaikos 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Zalgiris Kaunas — Panathinaikos | 84.3–82.3 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Panathinaikos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10Partizan Mozzart Bet87:80
- 28.10away · Virtus Bologna91:74
- 23.10Lyon-Villeurbanne105:85
- 16.10Anadolu Efes70:85
- 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
- 30.10away · Anadolu Efes68:83
- 27.10Olimpia Milano80:75
- 22.10Baskonia85:79
- 16.10Hapoel Tel Aviv81:91
- 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55
Head to head
- 12.03.2026Panathinaikos — Zalgiris Kaunas92:88
- 23.12.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Panathinaikos85:92
- 23.01.2025Panathinaikos — Zalgiris Kaunas89:76
- 22.11.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Panathinaikos84:77
- 02.02.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Panathinaikos80:68
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zalgiris Kaunas | 5 | 4 | .556 | 2 |
| 11 | Anadolu Efes | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Maccabi Tel AvivDubaipreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —184.5
- BayernBaskoniapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.2
- Olimpia MilanoFenerbahcepreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —163.3
- ParisHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —187.9
- ValenciaVirtus Bolognapreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —181.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →