EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Valencia — Virtus Bologna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 96:85 — 181 point in total.
Over 180.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +3.3, Virtus Bologna −4.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Valencia — No. 3, 6–3; Virtus Bologna — No. 15, 4–5.
- Virtus Bologna: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Valencia 4 wins, Virtus Bologna 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Virtus Bologna | 96.4–85.1 | |
| Total over 180.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 180.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Virtus Bologna points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 01.11away · MoraBanc Andorra111:79
- 30.10away · Barcelona94:98
- 27.10Fenerbahce86:78
- 25.10Baskonia84:75
- 23.10away · Paris104:93
- 30.10Besiktas101:103
- 28.10Zalgiris Kaunas74:91
- 21.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv81:90
- 16.10Baskonia86:78
- 14.10away · Paris96:94
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Virtus Bologna — Valencia81:94
- 03.10.2025Valencia — Virtus Bologna103:94
- 29.02.2024Virtus Bologna — Valencia87:74
- 21.12.2023Valencia — Virtus Bologna79:71
- 06.04.2023Valencia — Virtus Bologna79:68
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Dubai | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 14 | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 15 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris | 3 | 6 | .333 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Maccabi Tel AvivDubaipreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —184.5
- Zalgiris KaunasPanathinaikospreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
- BayernBaskoniapreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.2
- Olimpia MilanoFenerbahcepreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —163.3
- ParisHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —187.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →