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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Portland Trail Blazers — Oklahoma City Thunder

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Model prediction for 12 November

Portland Trail Blazers63%
Oklahoma City Thunder37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Portland Trail Blazers are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 114:109 — 223 points in total.

Over 222.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Portland Trail Blazers without Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe: that costs the team about 2.6 points a game.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Portland Trail Blazers — No. 5, 5–1; Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Portland Trail Blazers 1 win, Oklahoma City Thunder 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Portland Trail Blazers — Oklahoma City Thunder113.9–109.4
Total over 222.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 222.5 (incl. OT)49%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Portland Trail Blazers points
  • Oklahoma City Thunder points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Portland Trail Blazers

  • 03.11away · Denver Nuggets118:110
  • 31.10away · Utah Jazz112:90
  • 30.10Memphis Grizzlies103:124
  • 28.10away · Los Angeles Lakers136:129
  • 24.10away · Sacramento Kings128:120

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
  • 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
  • 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
  • 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
  • 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101

Head to head

  • 01.01.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Portland Trail Blazers124:95
  • 01.12.2025Portland Trail Blazers — Oklahoma City Thunder115:123
  • 24.11.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Portland Trail Blazers122:95
  • 06.11.2025Portland Trail Blazers — Oklahoma City Thunder121:119
  • 08.03.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Portland Trail Blazers107:89

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceMemphis Grizzlies761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePortland Trail Blazers651.8331
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceLos Angeles Lakers862.7501
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →