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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Sacramento Kings — Phoenix Suns

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Model prediction for 19 November

Sacramento Kings38%
Phoenix Suns62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Phoenix Suns are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 114:118 — 232 points in total.

Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
  • Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6; Phoenix Suns — No. 24, 1–4.
  • Phoenix Suns: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 1 win, Phoenix Suns 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Phoenix Suns114.0–118.1
Total over 231.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 231.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Sacramento Kings points
  • Phoenix Suns points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Sacramento Kings

  • 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
  • 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
  • 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
  • 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
  • 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123

Phoenix Suns

  • 03.11away · Golden State Warriors113:116
  • 31.10Denver Nuggets120:127
  • 27.10away · Oklahoma City Thunder114:125
  • 25.10Golden State Warriors131:122
  • 22.10away · Portland Trail Blazers83:124

Head to head

  • 04.03.2026Sacramento Kings — Phoenix Suns103:114
  • 03.01.2026Phoenix Suns — Sacramento Kings129:102
  • 27.11.2025Sacramento Kings — Phoenix Suns100:112
  • 23.10.2025Phoenix Suns — Sacramento Kings120:116
  • 13.04.2025Sacramento Kings — Phoenix Suns109:98

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5
12Phoenix Suns514.2004.5
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →