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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Bauru — Mogi

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Model prediction for 24 October

Bauru55%
Mogi45%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bauru are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 77:75 — 152 points in total.

Over 151.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Bauru +1.0, Mogi +2.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bauru — Mogi76.9–75.3
Total over 151.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 151.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Bauru points
  • Mogi points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Mogi

  • 16.05away · Franca77:78
  • 14.05away · Franca102:90
  • 10.05Franca70:88
  • 09.05Franca65:97
  • 06.05away · Franca95:93

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Mogi — Bauru87:79 OT
  • 13.12.2025Bauru — Mogi62:58
  • 09.02.2025Mogi — Bauru62:80
  • 09.11.2024Bauru — Mogi68:66
  • 14.04.2024Bauru — Mogi80:68

Full record: 11 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • BrasiliaPaulistanopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —153.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →