Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Olimpico — Penarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Olimpico are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 82:81 — 163 points in total.
Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Olimpico −1.9, Penarol +0.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpico — Penarol | 82.1–80.8 | |
| Total over 162.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 162.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Olimpico points
- Penarol points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Boca Juniors93:80
- 08.10Atenas87:91
- 02.10Platense74:82
- 13.04away · San Martin67:78
- 11.04away · Regatas75:99
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Olimpico — Penarol74:87
- 11.12.2025Penarol — Olimpico82:76
- 13.03.2025Penarol — Olimpico90:58
- 24.01.2025Olimpico — Penarol78:72
- 05.03.2024Penarol — Olimpico73:82
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Olimpico | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →