NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Pato — Botafogo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pato are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 79:75 — 154 points in total.
Over 153.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Pato −7.1, Botafogo −8.6 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Pato — Botafogo | 79.2–74.8 | |
| Total over 153.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 153.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Pato points
- Botafogo points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 17.04away · Pinheiros55:88
- 11.04away · Osasco68:77
- 10.04away · Franca64:100
- 07.04Rio Claro70:78
- 28.04Franca78:82
- 26.04Franca79:89
- 23.04away · Franca68:94
- 18.04away · Vasco86:104
- 12.04Flamengo89:102
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Pato — Botafogo93:67
- 08.11.2025Botafogo — Pato82:75
- 16.02.2025Botafogo — Pato91:76
- 29.11.2024Pato — Botafogo98:78
- 25.01.2024Pato — Botafogo97:86
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →