Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Penarol — San Martin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Penarol are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:76 — 158 points in total.
Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Penarol +0.5, San Martin −2.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Penarol — San Martin | 82.1–75.8 | |
| Total over 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Penarol points
- San Martin points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Argentino79:82
- 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126
- 01.10Instituto de Cordoba73:81
- 01.05Boca Juniors97:101
- 28.04away · Boca Juniors81:83
Head to head
- 20.02.2026San Martin — Penarol88:84
- 13.11.2025Penarol — San Martin75:72
- 06.03.2025San Martin — Penarol76:55
- 28.11.2024Penarol — San Martin87:61
- 04.06.2024Penarol — San Martin70:56
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 16 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation play-off | Obera TC | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- La UnionIndependiente de Olivapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —180.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →