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VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Samara — Lokomotiv Kuban

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Model prediction for 25 October

Samara2%
Lokomotiv Kuban98%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lokomotiv Kuban are clear favourites: 98% against 2% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 73:99 — 172 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Samara −18.1, Lokomotiv Kuban +9.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Samara — Lokomotiv Kuban73.3–99.2
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Samara points
  • Lokomotiv Kuban points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Samara

  • 07.10Unics Kazan62:117
  • 04.10Dynamo Vladivostok84:98
  • 26.09away · Saratov69:77
  • 22.04away · MBA Moscow61:79
  • 20.04Nizhny Novgorod76:78

Lokomotiv Kuban

  • 11.10away · CSKA Moscow84:87
  • 03.10MBA Moscow92:87
  • 27.09Enisey81:66
  • 12.06away · Zenit Petersburg84:76
  • 09.06Zenit Petersburg91:85

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Samara — Lokomotiv Kuban63:104
  • 25.01.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Samara96:79
  • 22.11.2025Samara — Lokomotiv Kuban74:102
  • 25.10.2025Lokomotiv Kuban — Samara101:84
  • 12.03.2025Lokomotiv Kuban — Samara100:46

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg431.7500.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban321.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5001.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey202.0002.5
11Samara303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →