Ligue 2: matchday 9 predictions
16–19 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Ligue 2 matchday 9: 9 matches, 16–19 October. The model expects 2.7 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 7 matches, an away win in 1 and a draw in 1. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 5 of 9 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteMetz — SochauxMetz 58% to win; most likely score 2:1
- Closest matchRodez — Montpellier35% v 36%, draw 29%
- Most goals expected · Possible upsetReims — Dijon3.6 goals on average; over 2.5: 69%; Dijon 23% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashRed Star — Saint-Étienne2nd v 1st in the table: 31% v 40%
What is at stake
Saint-Étienne lead with 19 points from 8 matches; Red Star are second, 2 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Red Star — Saint-Étienne, 40% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Saint-Étienne 61%, Red Star 14%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Boulogne, Clermont Foot and Laval; they are 1 to 2 points behind 15th place. A game at the bottom: Laval — Clermont Foot. Most at risk by the season forecast: Laval, 44% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.6
Saturday, 17 October
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 3130402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
Monday, 19 October
- 352936XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Ligue 2: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →