Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Alcochetense — Marítimo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Marítimo are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Marítimo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alcochetense — Marítimo What is xG? | 1.0–1.8 | |
| Alcochetense not to lose | 44% | |
| Marítimo not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alcochetense
- Alcochetense goals
- Marítimo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10FC Porto1:2
- 19.09away · Gil Vicente1:1
- 14.09away · Moreirense1:3
- 05.09Benfica0:3
- 29.08away · Arouca1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →