Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Brito FC — Vitória de Sernache
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Brito FC 38%, Vitória de Sernache 35%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brito FC — Vitória de Sernache What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Brito FC not to lose | 65% | |
| Vitória de Sernache not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brito FC
- Brito FC goals
- Vitória de Sernache goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 20.09away · Vila Pouca5:0
- 21.09away · Bragança0:5
- 24.11away · Tirsense0:1
- 20.10Moura Atlético Clube1:0
- 22.09Operário0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →