Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Felgueiras 1932 — AD Fafe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
AD Fafe are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AD Fafe are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Felgueiras 1932 — AD Fafe What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Felgueiras 1932 not to lose | 54% | |
| AD Fafe not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Felgueiras 1932
- Felgueiras 1932 goals
- AD Fafe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Naval2:0
- 19.10away · Atlético0:2
- 20.09away · Sanjoanense4:0
- 22.09away · Amora FC0:1
- 20.09JD Lajense4:0
- 23.04away · Torreense0:2
- 04.02Torreense1:1
- 14.01Braga2:1
- 27.12away · Lusitano de Évora1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →