Super League Greece, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
Aris Thessaloniki — NFC Volos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Aris Thessaloniki to win (62%), came true.
Aris Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 62% against 13% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aris Thessaloniki are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- NFC Volos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Aris Thessaloniki 3 wins, NFC Volos 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aris Thessaloniki — NFC Volos What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Aris Thessaloniki not to lose | 87% | |
| NFC Volos not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Aris Thessaloniki
- Aris Thessaloniki goals
- NFC Volos goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09Iraklis0:0
- 13.09away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:2
- 05.09away · AEK Athens0:5
- 30.08OFI Crete2:1
- 22.08away · Kalamata3:2
- 20.09AEK Athens1:2
- 13.09away · Kalamata1:3
- 05.09Olympiacos1:1
- 29.08Iraklis1:1
- 23.08away · OFI Crete0:2
Head to head
- 13.05.2026NFC Volos — Aris Thessaloniki1:2
- 18.04.2026Aris Thessaloniki — NFC Volos3:2
- 14.02.2026NFC Volos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
- 23.08.2025Aris Thessaloniki — NFC Volos2:0
- 01.03.2025NFC Volos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | -11 | 1 |
Next matches
- LevadiakosNFC Volos17 October · Greek Super League5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Kifisia FCAris Thessaloniki18 October · Greek Super League363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
Greek Super League on the same day
- 343432XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.2
- 5228201The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6423131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →