Super League Greece, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Kaftanzoglio Ethniko Stadio
Iraklis — Levadiakos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (34%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 34% fails in about 66 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Iraklis 34%, Levadiakos 32%, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Levadiakos are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Iraklis: unbeaten in 4; Levadiakos: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iraklis — Levadiakos What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Iraklis not to lose | 68% | |
| Levadiakos not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Iraklis
- Iraklis goals
- Levadiakos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Aris Thessaloniki0:0
- 12.09Atromitos1:1
- 07.09away · Asteras Tripolis2:0
- 29.08away · NFC Volos1:1
- 22.08away · AEK Athens0:4
- 20.09Olympiacos0:1
- 13.09away · Kifisia FC0:0
- 06.09Panetolikos0:2
- 31.08Panathinaikos0:2
- 23.08away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | -11 | 1 |
Next matches
- LevadiakosNFC Volos17 October · Greek Super League5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- PAOK ThessalonikiIraklis18 October · Greek Super League751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Greek Super League on the same day
- 5228201The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6224131The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 6423131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →