English Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Aston Villa — Fulham
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aston Villa are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aston Villa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aston Villa — Fulham What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Aston Villa not to lose | 73% | |
| Fulham not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Aston Villa
- Aston Villa goals
- Fulham goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Brentford2:2
- 19.09away · Tottenham Hotspur3:2
- 16.09away · Coventry City3:1
- 12.09Nottingham Forest1:2
- 08.09away · Club Brugge3:2
- 10.10away · Ipswich Town1:2
- 20.09Manchester United1:1
- 15.09away · West Ham United3:2
- 12.09away · Liverpool0:0
- 05.09Crystal Palace2:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Fulham — Aston Villa1:0
- 28.09.2025Aston Villa — Fulham3:1
- 03.05.2025Aston Villa — Fulham1:0
- 19.10.2024Fulham — Aston Villa1:3
- 17.02.2024Fulham — Aston Villa1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 20, Relegation | Fulham | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Premier League on the same day
- ChelseaManchester Unitedpreliminary4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- AFC BournemouthLeeds Unitedpreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- BrentfordNottingham Forestpreliminary5028231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Coventry CitySunderlandpreliminary363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Hull CityIpswich Townpreliminary4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palacepreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →