English Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Tottenham Hotspur 36%, Crystal Palace 35%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Tottenham Hotspur not to lose | 65% | |
| Crystal Palace not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur goals
- Crystal Palace goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Manchester United1:1
- 19.09Aston Villa2:3
- 15.09away · Liverpool1:3
- 12.09Everton0:0
- 05.09away · Nottingham Forest0:0
- 11.10Nottingham Forest3:1
- 20.09away · Leeds United0:0
- 17.09Lech Poznań4:0
- 12.09Ipswich Town2:3
- 08.09Middlesbrough3:0
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace1:3
- 28.12.2025Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur0:1
- 11.05.2025Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace0:2
- 27.10.2024Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur1:0
- 02.03.2024Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 19, Relegation | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 20, Relegation | Fulham | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Premier League on the same day
- ChelseaManchester Unitedpreliminary4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- AFC BournemouthLeeds Unitedpreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- BrentfordNottingham Forestpreliminary5028231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Coventry CitySunderlandpreliminary363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Hull CityIpswich Townpreliminary4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Aston VillaFulhampreliminary4430271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →