English Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Brentford — Nottingham Forest
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brentford are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brentford are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brentford — Nottingham Forest What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Brentford not to lose | 77% | |
| Nottingham Forest not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brentford
- Brentford goals
- Nottingham Forest goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Aston Villa2:2
- 18.09Chelsea3:0
- 15.09away · Reading2:1
- 12.09away · AFC Bournemouth2:2
- 05.09Sunderland1:1
- 11.10away · Crystal Palace1:3
- 19.09Coventry City0:1
- 12.09away · Aston Villa2:1
- 05.09Tottenham Hotspur0:0
- 29.08away · Liverpool2:2
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Brentford — Nottingham Forest0:2
- 17.08.2025Nottingham Forest — Brentford3:1
- 01.05.2025Nottingham Forest — Brentford0:2
- 21.12.2024Brentford — Nottingham Forest0:2
- 20.01.2024Brentford — Nottingham Forest3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Everton | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
Premier League on the same day
- ChelseaManchester Unitedpreliminary4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- AFC BournemouthLeeds Unitedpreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Coventry CitySunderlandpreliminary363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Hull CityIpswich Townpreliminary4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palacepreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- Aston VillaFulhampreliminary4430271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →