Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Atlético de San Luis — Atlas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Atlético de San Luis 39%, Atlas 33%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Atlético de San Luis — No. 15, 12 pts; Atlas — No. 6, 18 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético de San Luis 2 wins, Atlas 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis — Atlas What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Atlético de San Luis not to lose | 67% | |
| Atlas not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético de San Luis
- Atlético de San Luis goals
- Atlas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Santos Laguna1:2
- 27.09away · Pumas3:2
- 20.09Necaxa3:1
- 15.09away · León0:2
- 06.09Chivas0:3
Head to head
- 22.02.2026Atlas — Atlético de San Luis3:2
- 18.10.2025Atlético de San Luis — Atlas2:0
- 03.03.2025Atlas — Atlético de San Luis3:1
- 31.08.2024Atlético de San Luis — Atlas2:1
- 15.04.2024Atlas — Atlético de San Luis2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Liguilla (playoffs) | León | 11 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 6, Liguilla (playoffs) | Atlas | 11 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7, Liguilla (playoffs) | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
Liga MX on the same day
- FC JuárezQuerétaro FCpreliminary3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PueblaPumaspreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →