Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Atlético-GO — Novorizontino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Novorizontino are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Novorizontino are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Atlético-GO — No. 6, 53 pts; Novorizontino — No. 2, 60 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Novorizontino: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético-GO 1 win, Novorizontino 1, 3 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Atlético-GO 13, Novorizontino 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético-GO — Novorizontino What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Atlético-GO not to lose | 55% | |
| Novorizontino not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético-GO
- Atlético-GO goals
- Novorizontino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Sport Recife1:1
- 08.10away · CRB1:3
- 03.10América-MG2:0
- 27.09away · Goiás1:0
- 19.09away · São Bernardo0:1
- 13.10Ponte Preta5:1
- 09.10away · Náutico2:0
- 02.10Goiás3:0
- 26.09São Bernardo0:0
- 19.09away · Ceará1:2
Head to head
- 04.07.2026Novorizontino — Atlético-GO3:0
- 09.09.2025Novorizontino — Atlético-GO1:1
- 04.05.2025Atlético-GO — Novorizontino1:0
- 02.11.2023Atlético-GO — Novorizontino2:2
- 08.07.2023Novorizontino — Atlético-GO2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | +15 | 61 |
| 2, Promotion | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | +31 | 60 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- Operário-PRAthletic Club MGpreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Sport RecifeCriciúmapreliminary3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- AvaíBotafogo SPpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- São BernardoVila Novapreliminary3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →