Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Sport Recife — Criciúma
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sport Recife are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sport Recife are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Recife — Criciúma What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Sport Recife not to lose | 74% | |
| Criciúma not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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- Handicap Sport Recife
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Form
- 11.10away · Atlético-GO1:1
- 07.10São Bernardo2:1
- 02.10away · Athletic Club MG2:1
- 26.09away · Náutico1:3
- 19.09Juventude2:1
- 13.10América-MG1:0
- 09.10away · Ceará0:1
- 03.10away · Londrina2:0
- 27.09Avaí3:0
- 23.09Operário-PR0:2
Head to head
- 04.07.2026Criciúma — Sport Recife1:0
- 10.09.2023Sport Recife — Criciúma3:3
- 25.05.2023Criciúma — Sport Recife1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 33 | 13 | -1 | 48 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- Operário-PRAthletic Club MGpreliminary4927251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- AvaíBotafogo SPpreliminary4430261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- São BernardoVila Novapreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Atlético-GONovorizontinopreliminary342937XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →