Brazilian Serie B, round 35 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Avaí — Botafogo SP
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avaí are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avaí — Botafogo SP What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| Avaí not to lose | 74% | |
| Botafogo SP not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Avaí
- Avaí goals
- Botafogo SP goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10Ceará1:0
- 08.10away · Operário-PR2:1
- 04.10Vila Nova0:1
- 30.09Ponte Preta2:0
- 20.09away · Athletic Club MG1:1
Head to head
- 07.07.2026Botafogo SP — Avaí3:1
- 23.11.2025Botafogo SP — Avaí0:0
- 29.07.2025Avaí — Botafogo SP5:0
- 19.11.2024Botafogo SP — Avaí1:3
- 31.07.2024Avaí — Botafogo SP1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 17, Relegation | Avaí | 33 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
| 18, Relegation | Londrina | 32 | 7 | -7 | 28 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- Operário-PRAthletic Club MGpreliminary4927251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Sport RecifeCriciúmapreliminary4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- São BernardoVila Novapreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Atlético-GONovorizontinopreliminary342937XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →