Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Atletico Pinatarense — Elche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Elche are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Elche are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atletico Pinatarense — Elche What is xG? | 0.7–2.7 | |
| Atletico Pinatarense not to lose | 21% | |
| Elche not to lose | 93% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atletico Pinatarense
- Atletico Pinatarense goals
- Elche goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 11.10Celta Vigo0:0
- 18.09away · Espanyol3:1
- 15.09Real Madrid2:3
- 12.09away · Athletic Club1:1
- 07.09Real Sociedad2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CastellonenseAlmeríapreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Ciudad LucenaRayo Majadahondapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →