Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Atlético Tordesillas — CD Mirandés

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Model prediction for 27 October

Atlético Tordesillas20%
Draw24%
CD Mirandés57%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CD Mirandés are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings CD Mirandés are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Atlético Tordesillas — CD Mirandés What is xG?1.0–1.9
Atlético Tordesillas not to lose43%
CD Mirandés not to lose80%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Atlético Tordesillas
  • Atlético Tordesillas goals
  • CD Mirandés goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Atlético Tordesillas

  • 28.10Burgos CF1:2

CD Mirandés

  • 31.05away · Leganés0:1
  • 24.05Granada3:1
  • 16.05away · Real Sociedad B2:2
  • 10.05Eibar0:1
  • 04.05away · Almería2:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →