Austrian Bundesliga, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Austria Wien — Rapid Wien
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rapid Wien are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rapid Wien are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Austria Wien — No. 10, 7 pts; Rapid Wien — No. 1, 21 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Rapid Wien: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Austria Wien 3 wins, Rapid Wien 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austria Wien — Rapid Wien What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Austria Wien not to lose | 52% | |
| Rapid Wien not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Rapid Wien goals
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Form
- 10.10Sturm Graz0:2
- 19.09away · Grazer AK2:2
- 13.09Austria Lustenau2:1
- 02.09WSG Tirol0:1
- 30.08away · Salzburg1:4
- 11.10away · LASK2:0
- 18.09WSG Tirol3:0
- 12.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:0
- 02.09away · Salzburg1:5
- 30.08Sturm Graz3:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Rapid Wien — Austria Wien0:2
- 12.04.2026Austria Wien — Rapid Wien1:1
- 15.02.2026Austria Wien — Rapid Wien2:0
- 28.09.2025Rapid Wien — Austria Wien1:3
- 11.05.2025Austria Wien — Rapid Wien1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Rapid Wien | 8 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- SalzburgAustria Lustenaupreliminary86941The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.8
- Wolfsberger ACSturm Grazpreliminary2228512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →