Austrian Bundesliga, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Austria Wien — Rapid Wien
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rapid Wien are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rapid Wien are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austria Wien — Rapid Wien What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Austria Wien not to lose | 60% | |
| Rapid Wien not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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Form
- 10.10Sturm Graz0:2
- 19.09away · Grazer AK2:2
- 13.09Austria Lustenau2:1
- 02.09WSG Tirol0:1
- 30.08away · Salzburg1:4
- 11.10away · LASK2:0
- 18.09WSG Tirol3:0
- 12.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:0
- 02.09away · Salzburg1:5
- 30.08Sturm Graz3:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Rapid Wien — Austria Wien0:2
- 12.04.2026Austria Wien — Rapid Wien1:1
- 15.02.2026Austria Wien — Rapid Wien2:0
- 28.09.2025Rapid Wien — Austria Wien1:3
- 11.05.2025Austria Wien — Rapid Wien1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Rapid Wien | 8 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- SalzburgAustria Lustenaupreliminary86941The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:04.1
- Wolfsberger ACSturm Grazpreliminary2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →