Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Azam FC — Mashujaa

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Model prediction for 24 October

Azam FC83%
Draw13%
Mashujaa4%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Azam FC are clear favourites: 83% against 4% for the opponent, draw 13%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 24%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Azam FC are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Azam FC — Mashujaa What is xG?2.0–0.3
Azam FC not to lose96%
Mashujaa not to lose17%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes24%
Both teams to score: no76%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Azam FC
  • Azam FC goals
  • Mashujaa goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Azam FC

  • 09.10away · Coastal Union2:0
  • 16.09Simba SC0:2
  • 07.09Namungo FC2:0
  • 31.08away · Kagera Sugar2:0
  • 28.08away · Geita Gold FC2:2

Mashujaa

  • 13.10away · Simba SC1:6
  • 08.10Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
  • 09.09Singida Black Stars2:1
  • 04.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 27.08Kagera Sugar2:1

Head to head

  • 16.06.2026Azam FC — Mashujaa2:0
  • 19.03.2026Mashujaa — Azam FC0:0
  • 15.02.2025Azam FC — Mashujaa2:0
  • 29.09.2024Mashujaa — Azam FC0:0
  • 17.04.2024Azam FC — Mashujaa0:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2Young Africans760117–4+1318
3Azam FC852113–7+617
4Mashujaa84049–13-412
5Singida Black Stars832314–11+311

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →