Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
JKT Tanzania — Kagera Sugar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
JKT Tanzania are clear favourites: 60% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings JKT Tanzania are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: JKT Tanzania — No. 9, 10 pts; Kagera Sugar — No. 14, 5 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: JKT Tanzania 1 win, Kagera Sugar 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JKT Tanzania — Kagera Sugar What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| JKT Tanzania not to lose | 84% | |
| Kagera Sugar not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap JKT Tanzania
- JKT Tanzania goals
- Kagera Sugar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Fountain Gate FC2:1
- 12.09away · Coastal Union1:2
- 05.09Pamba Jiji3:0
- 29.08Namungo FC2:1
- 24.08away · Young Africans0:4
- 09.10away · Mbeya City3:1
- 13.09Fountain Gate FC1:1
- 31.08Azam FC0:2
- 27.08away · Mashujaa1:2
- 22.08away · Geita Gold FC2:6
Head to head
- 21.02.2025JKT Tanzania — Kagera Sugar2:0
- 16.09.2024Kagera Sugar — JKT Tanzania0:0
- 02.03.2024Kagera Sugar — JKT Tanzania1:1
- 29.09.2023JKT Tanzania — Kagera Sugar1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- TRA UnitedYoung Africanspreliminary721722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
- Azam FCMashujaapreliminary831341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Singida Black StarsTRA Unitedpreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Namungo FCCoastal Unionpreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →