Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Singida Black Stars — TRA United

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Model prediction for 24 October

Singida Black Stars60%
Draw24%
TRA United16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Singida Black Stars are clear favourites: 60% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Singida Black Stars — No. 5, 11 pts; TRA United — No. 13, 6 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Singida Black Stars 1 win, TRA United 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Singida Black Stars — TRA United What is xG?1.8–0.8
Singida Black Stars not to lose84%
TRA United not to lose40%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Singida Black Stars
  • Singida Black Stars goals
  • TRA United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Singida Black Stars

  • 12.10away · Coastal Union0:1
  • 09.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:1
  • 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
  • 01.09Namungo FC3:2
  • 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2

TRA United

  • 08.10away · Namungo FC0:1
  • 13.09away · Pamba Jiji3:1
  • 04.09Mbeya City0:0
  • 29.08Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 24.08away · Coastal Union1:1

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026TRA United — Singida Black Stars2:0
  • 06.12.2025Singida Black Stars — TRA United1:3
  • 19.04.2025Singida Black Stars — TRA United3:0
  • 25.11.2024TRA United — Singida Black Stars2:2
  • 22.05.2024TRA United — Singida Black Stars1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Mashujaa84049–13-412
5Singida Black Stars832314–11+311
6Dodoma Jiji FC73225–5011
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →