Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

TRA United — Young Africans

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Model prediction for 24 October

TRA United8%
Draw21%
Young Africans71%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Young Africans are clear favourites: 71% against 8% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 33%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Young Africans are about 1.9 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: TRA United — Young Africans What is xG?0.5–1.8
TRA United not to lose29%
Young Africans not to lose92%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes33%
Both teams to score: no67%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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Form

TRA United

  • 08.10away · Namungo FC0:1
  • 13.09away · Pamba Jiji3:1
  • 04.09Mbeya City0:0
  • 29.08Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 24.08away · Coastal Union1:1

Young Africans

  • 10.10away · Simba SC1:2
  • 15.09Geita Gold FC1:0
  • 31.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
  • 28.08Pamba Jiji2:0
  • 24.08JKT Tanzania4:0

Head to head

  • 27.06.2026Young Africans — TRA United3:0
  • 18.03.2026TRA United — Young Africans0:0
  • 02.04.2025TRA United — Young Africans0:3
  • 07.11.2024Young Africans — TRA United1:3
  • 25.05.2024Young Africans — TRA United3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Simba SC880019–4+1524
2Young Africans760117–4+1318
3Azam FC852113–7+617
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →