Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Namungo FC — Coastal Union

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Model prediction for 24 October

Namungo FC42%
Draw31%
Coastal Union27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Namungo FC are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.

The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Namungo FC — Coastal Union What is xG?1.1–0.8
Namungo FC not to lose73%
Coastal Union not to lose58%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.530%
Total under 2.570%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Namungo FC
  • Namungo FC goals
  • Coastal Union goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Namungo FC

  • 08.10TRA United1:0
  • 11.09away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 07.09away · Azam FC0:2
  • 01.09away · Singida Black Stars2:3
  • 29.08away · JKT Tanzania1:2

Coastal Union

  • 12.10Singida Black Stars1:0
  • 09.10Azam FC0:2
  • 12.09JKT Tanzania2:1
  • 06.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
  • 27.08away · Simba SC0:1

Head to head

  • 12.06.2026Coastal Union — Namungo FC1:1
  • 23.01.2026Namungo FC — Coastal Union1:0
  • 23.02.2025Namungo FC — Coastal Union0:0
  • 17.09.2024Coastal Union — Namungo FC0:2
  • 17.04.2024Namungo FC — Coastal Union1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9JKT Tanzania73139–11-210
10Coastal Union83147–11-410
11Namungo FC83057–11-49
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →