DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Bayer Leverkusen — 1. FC Nürnberg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bayer Leverkusen are about 1.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Bayer Leverkusen: 3 wins in a row; 1. FC Nürnberg: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen — 1. FC Nürnberg What is xG? | 2.6–0.7 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen not to lose | 93% | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen goals
- 1. FC Nürnberg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Mainz 054:3
- 20.09RB Leipzig2:0
- 16.09NK Celje2:0
- 12.09away · Augsburg2:2
- 05.09Union Berlin4:0
- 10.10Wolfsburg4:4
- 19.09away · Karlsruher SC1:0
- 11.09Hannover 962:1
- 05.09away · Holstein Kiel2:2
- 29.08Arminia Bielefeld4:1
Head to head
- 20.04.2019Bayer Leverkusen — 1. FC Nürnberg2:0
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- FreiburgWolfsburgpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- SSV JeddelohHertha BSCpreliminary916762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- PaderbornVfB Stuttgartpreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Dynamo DresdenSchalke 04preliminary2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- Bayern MünchenMagdeburgpreliminary97211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:05.2
- Hannover 96Kaiserslauternpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Holstein KielHoffenheimpreliminary1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →