DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Hannover 96 — Kaiserslautern

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Model prediction for 28 October

Hannover 9646%
Draw26%
Kaiserslautern28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hannover 96 are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hannover 96 are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Hannover 96 2 wins, Kaiserslautern 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hannover 96 — Kaiserslautern What is xG?1.6–1.2
Hannover 96 not to lose72%
Kaiserslautern not to lose54%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Hannover 96
  • Hannover 96 goals
  • Kaiserslautern goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Hannover 96

  • 10.10away · Magdeburg0:3
  • 20.09Bochum2:1
  • 11.09away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:2
  • 04.09Karlsruher SC2:2
  • 30.08away · Darmstadt1:0

Kaiserslautern

  • 09.10away · FC Heidenheim0:0
  • 19.09Eintracht Braunschweig1:0
  • 12.09away · Magdeburg0:3
  • 05.09Darmstadt3:0
  • 30.08away · St. Pauli2:1

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Kaiserslautern — Hannover 963:1
  • 03.08.2025Hannover 96 — Kaiserslautern1:0
  • 15.02.2025Kaiserslautern — Hannover 960:0
  • 14.09.2024Hannover 96 — Kaiserslautern3:1
  • 16.03.2024Hannover 96 — Kaiserslautern1:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

DFB-Pokal on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →