DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Bayern München — Magdeburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bayern München are clear favourites: 97% against 1% for the opponent, draw 2%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 89%, both teams to score — 33%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bayern München are about 3.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bayern München — Magdeburg What is xG? | 4.8–0.4 | |
| Bayern München not to lose | 99% | |
| Magdeburg not to lose | 3% | |
| No draw | 98% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 33% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 67% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 89% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 11% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bayern München
- Bayern München goals
- Magdeburg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · Viking3:3
- 10.10away · Augsburg2:2
- 18.09Union Berlin7:0
- 13.09away · Elversberg2:1
- 10.09Bodø/Glimt5:0
- 10.10Hannover 963:0
- 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
- 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
- 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- FreiburgWolfsburgpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- SSV JeddelohHertha BSCpreliminary916762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- PaderbornVfB Stuttgartpreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Dynamo DresdenSchalke 04preliminary2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnbergpreliminary781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- Hannover 96Kaiserslauternpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Holstein KielHoffenheimpreliminary1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →