EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Blackburn Rovers 37%, Wrexham 33%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Blackburn Rovers — No. 8, 15 pts; Wrexham — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Blackburn Rovers: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: Blackburn Rovers 1 win, Wrexham 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 67% | |
| Wrexham not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Wrexham goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
- 13.10West Bromwich Albion1:2
- 10.10away · Derby County1:1
- 19.09Southampton2:1
- 11.09away · West Ham United0:6
- 08.09Burnley1:1
Head to head
- 01.01.2026Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham0:2
- 29.11.2025Wrexham — Blackburn Rovers1:1
- 29.01.2024Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
Championship on the same day
- Charlton AthleticNorwich Citypreliminary2528462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3628351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Lincoln CityBurnleypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Preston North EndWest Bromwich Albionpreliminary343037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Queens Park RangersSwansea Citypreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Stoke CityBristol Citypreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →