Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Paderborn
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Borussia Mönchengladbach are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Borussia Mönchengladbach are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach — No. 18, 0 pts; Paderborn — No. 15, 4 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 wins, Paderborn 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach — Paderborn What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach not to lose | 76% | |
| Paderborn not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
- Paderborn goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · 1. FC Köln1:2
- 19.09Mainz 053:4
- 12.09away · Freiburg0:5
- 05.09Elversberg3:4
- 29.08away · RB Leipzig0:3
- 10.10VfB Stuttgart0:2
- 20.09Hoffenheim3:1
- 12.09away · Borussia Dortmund0:3
- 05.09Freiburg0:1
- 29.08away · Mainz 050:0
Head to head
- 20.06.2020Paderborn — Borussia Mönchengladbach1:3
- 18.12.2019Borussia Mönchengladbach — Paderborn2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- AugsburgFreiburgpreliminary3030392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgartpreliminary5724201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
- Schalke 04RB Leipzigpreliminary1626572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- Werder BremenHoffenheimpreliminary352935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmundpreliminary751591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →