Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

CE Manresa — Sant Andreu

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Model prediction for 27 October

CE Manresa30%
Draw26%
Sant Andreu43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sant Andreu are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CE Manresa — Sant Andreu What is xG?1.2–1.5
CE Manresa not to lose57%
Sant Andreu not to lose70%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CE Manresa
  • CE Manresa goals
  • Sant Andreu goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CE Manresa

  • 01.11Real Oviedo1:2
  • 13.11Pontevedra1:3

Sant Andreu

  • 04.12Celta Vigo1:1
  • 29.10CD Teruel2:1
  • 04.12Real Betis1:3
  • 30.10CD Mirandés2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →