Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield

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Model prediction for 26 October

Central Córdoba de Santiago33%
Draw30%
Vélez Sarsfield37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Central Córdoba de Santiago 33%, Vélez Sarsfield 37%, draw 30%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield What is xG?1.1–1.2
Central Córdoba de Santiago not to lose63%
Vélez Sarsfield not to lose67%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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  • Handicap Central Córdoba de Santiago
  • Central Córdoba de Santiago goals
  • Vélez Sarsfield goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Central Córdoba de Santiago

  • 10.10Estudiantes2:2
  • 05.10away · Deportivo Riestra1:1
  • 19.09Defensa y Justicia2:2
  • 12.09away · Boca Juniors1:3
  • 06.09Independiente0:1

Vélez Sarsfield

  • 12.10away · Lanús0:2
  • 06.10Club Atlético Platense2:2
  • 21.09Tigre3:2
  • 11.09away · Newell's Old Boys1:1
  • 06.09Estudiantes1:0

Head to head

  • 14.04.2026Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
  • 12.12.2024Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago0:1
  • 30.07.2024Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield0:2
  • 22.03.2023Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago4:0
  • 26.10.2022Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago3:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →