Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Barracas Central — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

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Model prediction for 26 October

Barracas Central53%
Draw30%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Barracas Central are clear favourites: 53% against 16% for the opponent, draw 30%.

1.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 25%, both teams to score — 31%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Barracas Central — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto What is xG?1.2–0.6
Barracas Central not to lose84%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to lose47%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes31%
Both teams to score: no69%
Total over 2.525%
Total under 2.575%

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  • Handicap Barracas Central
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  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto goals
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Form

Barracas Central

  • 10.10Huracán2:0
  • 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
  • 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
  • 15.09away · Banfield1:1
  • 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

  • 11.10away · River Plate0:1
  • 05.10Racing Club1:2
  • 21.09away · Belgrano1:2
  • 15.09away · Instituto1:2
  • 04.09Sarmiento0:2

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Barracas Central1:2

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →