Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 26 October, MSK
River Plate — Racing Club
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
River Plate are clear favourites: 66% against 12% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings River Plate are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: River Plate 3 wins, Racing Club 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: River Plate — Racing Club What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| River Plate not to lose | 88% | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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Form
- 11.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:0
- 20.09Huracán1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
- 30.08away · Banfield3:2
- 12.10Belgrano0:2
- 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
- 19.09Sarmiento3:1
- 14.09away · Huracán1:2
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Racing Club — River Plate0:2
- 25.11.2025Racing Club — River Plate3:2
- 03.10.2025Racing Club — River Plate0:1
- 15.12.2024Racing Club — River Plate1:0
- 29.07.2023River Plate — Racing Club2:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Central Córdoba de SantiagoVélez Sarsfieldpreliminary383032XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- Barracas CentralEstudiantes de Río Cuartopreliminary5231171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →