Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Central Córdoba de Santiago 38%, Vélez Sarsfield 32%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Central Córdoba de Santiago: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Central Córdoba de Santiago 1 win, Vélez Sarsfield 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Central Córdoba de Santiago not to lose | 68% | |
| Vélez Sarsfield not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Central Córdoba de Santiago
- Central Córdoba de Santiago goals
- Vélez Sarsfield goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Estudiantes2:2
- 05.10away · Deportivo Riestra1:1
- 19.09Defensa y Justicia2:2
- 12.09away · Boca Juniors1:3
- 06.09Independiente0:1
- 12.10away · Lanús0:2
- 06.10Club Atlético Platense2:2
- 21.09Tigre3:2
- 11.09away · Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 06.09Estudiantes1:0
Head to head
- 14.04.2026Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
- 12.12.2024Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago0:1
- 30.07.2024Central Córdoba de Santiago — Vélez Sarsfield0:2
- 22.03.2023Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago4:0
- 26.10.2022Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba de Santiago3:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- River PlateRacing Clubpreliminary6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Barracas CentralEstudiantes de Río Cuartopreliminary5231171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →