Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Cesena — Empoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cesena are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cesena are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cesena — No. 10, 7 pts; Empoli — No. 16, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Cesena: winless in 4; Empoli: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Cesena 0 wins, Empoli 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cesena — Empoli What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Cesena not to lose | 76% | |
| Empoli not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cesena
- Cesena goals
- Empoli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Benevento0:2
- 18.09away · Juve Stabia1:1
- 12.09Cremonese2:2
- 06.09Mantova1:1
- 29.08away · Virtus Entella2:1
- 10.10Palermo2:4
- 20.09away · Modena1:2
- 11.09Arezzo0:1
- 05.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 30.08away · Mantova1:3
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Empoli — Cesena1:1
- 10.01.2026Cesena — Empoli0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Empoli | 6 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
Serie B on the same day
- BeneventoCatanzaropreliminary5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- AscoliSampdoriapreliminary3931291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Virtus EntellaAvellinopreliminary5129201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2429472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- MantovaCremonesepreliminary4330261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- PadovaSüdtirolpreliminary4232271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →