Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Charlotte FC — CF Montréal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte FC are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Charlotte FC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Charlotte FC — No. 8, 46 pts; CF Montréal — No. 29, 24 pts. A gap of 22 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Charlotte FC 3 wins, CF Montréal 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte FC — CF Montréal What is xG? | 2.0–1.2 | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 82% | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Charlotte FC
- Charlotte FC goals
- CF Montréal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FC Dallas3:2
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
- 10.10away · Toronto FC1:2
- 27.09FC Cincinnati3:1
- 20.09Columbus Crew0:2
- 13.09away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 10.09Charlotte FC1:2
Head to head
- 10.09.2026CF Montréal — Charlotte FC1:2
- 28.09.2025Charlotte FC — CF Montréal1:4
- 13.04.2025CF Montréal — Charlotte FC0:1
- 06.10.2024Charlotte FC — CF Montréal2:0
- 15.09.2024CF Montréal — Charlotte FC2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →