Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Chicago Fire FC — Orlando City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chicago Fire FC are clear favourites: 55% against 22% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chicago Fire FC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Chicago Fire FC — No. 5, 48 pts; Orlando City — No. 15, 37 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Chicago Fire FC: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Chicago Fire FC 3 wins, Orlando City 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Fire FC — Orlando City What is xG? | 2.3–1.4 | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 78% | |
| Orlando City not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Chicago Fire FC
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Orlando City goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
- 11.10Columbus Crew3:2
- 27.09away · Philadelphia Union2:4
- 20.09away · New England Revolution2:4
- 17.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 13.09Toronto FC3:0
Head to head
- 20.08.2026Orlando City — Chicago Fire FC1:2
- 23.10.2025Chicago Fire FC — Orlando City3:1
- 01.06.2025Orlando City — Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 04.05.2025Chicago Fire FC — Orlando City0:0
- 23.06.2024Orlando City — Chicago Fire FC4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →