Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Soldier Field
Chicago Fire FC — Philadelphia Union
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: Chicago Fire FC 37%, Philadelphia Union 35%, draw 28%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Fire FC — Philadelphia Union What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 65% | |
| Philadelphia Union not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chicago Fire FC
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Philadelphia Union goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
- 11.10Real Salt Lake2:1
- 27.09Orlando City4:2
- 20.09away · Sporting Kansas City4:3
- 14.09away · San Diego FC5:0
- 10.09FC Cincinnati5:0
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Philadelphia Union — Chicago Fire FC1:2
- 02.11.2025Chicago Fire FC — Philadelphia Union0:3
- 27.10.2025Philadelphia Union — Chicago Fire FC2:2
- 24.08.2025Philadelphia Union — Chicago Fire FC4:0
- 26.06.2025Chicago Fire FC — Philadelphia Union0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →