Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Columbus Crew are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Columbus Crew are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Columbus Crew not to lose | 74% | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew goals
- Charlotte FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Orlando City2:3
- 28.09Inter Miami CF2:1
- 20.09away · CF Montréal2:0
- 17.09Orlando City2:1
- 13.09Red Bull New York0:1
- 11.10FC Dallas3:2
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew3:1
- 25.05.2025Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew3:2
- 04.05.2025Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC4:2
- 18.07.2024Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC1:1
- 24.03.2024Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →