Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
FC Cincinnati are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Cincinnati are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution What is xG? | 1.9–1.6 | |
| FC Cincinnati not to lose | 69% | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Cincinnati
- FC Cincinnati goals
- New England Revolution goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Atlanta United3:1
- 27.09away · CF Montréal1:3
- 20.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 13.09Charlotte FC3:3
- 10.09away · Philadelphia Union0:5
- 11.10Seattle Sounders FC0:3
- 27.09away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 20.09Orlando City4:2
- 14.09away · Chicago Fire FC2:1
- 10.09away · New York City FC2:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2026New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati6:1
- 15.06.2025New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati0:1
- 06.04.2025FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution1:0
- 23.06.2024FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution1:2
- 17.03.2024New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
MLS on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →